@DetroitDan But it takes great care to make sense of what we do not actually experience, but are informed of by motivated actors. Sophistry can consist both of sewing false doubt and creating unwarranted certainties. Withdrawing into apathy or helplessness from doubt is bad, but so is acting with great certainty when, if you are wrong, your actions will do harm. Probability is one way of thinking about it. Another is that no form of rigor that can substitute for wise judgment. We're on our own.