@SteveRoth This graph (from skeptonomist's comment https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=X9Rn is helpful). So yeah, household and establishment survey differ, but they usually parallel, their slopes are usually more similar than this year.
Update: Link to skeptonomist's comment https://jabberwocking.com/how-many-new-jobs-have-we-created-this-year/#comment-85738
A graph of household-survey-based vs establishment-survey-based US total employment numbers, showing an unusual difference in slope (with the HH survey much flatter than the increasing establishment survey) in 2022.